2011 NFL Week 12 Point Spreads and Picks; Jay Cutler Better Than Ever, Hurt

Thanksgiving is this Thursday, and that means football. The Detroit Lions, an NFL Thursday staple, are playing in a meaningful Thanksgiving game for the first time since I’ve been alive. If proof is needed that the Lions are a cursed franchise (see Matt Millen), they will be facing the undefeated Green Bay Packers.

We had a rough Week 11, and will quickly remind all of our 12-4 Week 10. 2011 Current “Point Spread Picks” Season Record: 90-70. You may still follow us as we make our certain comeback.

Thursday, November 24, 2011
Green Bay Packers v Detroit Lions +6.5
Tampa Bay just covered against the Packers at Lambeau. Detroit just blew the Panthers out of the gym. Explains why Green Bay is giving less than a touchdown. There is no consistency in the 2011 NFL, unless it’s Green Bay slapping teams about. We are also not ready to trust in a Detroit home advantage.
Pick: Green Bay -6.5

Miami Dolphins v Dallas Cowboys -7.5
The Dolphins are winning here and there, and may be content, and stuck with Matt Moore at quarterback. They are still just the Dolphins, however, and Dallas covers at home on Thanksgiving. Or, has done since the whole Randy Moss incident.
Pick: Dallas -7.5

San Francisco v Baltimore Ravens -3.5
The 49ers’ brutal non-divisional schedule may eventually catch up with them. But Ray Rice is the only man playing on the Baltimore offense, and Ray Lewis may be missing from the D. Until the ‘9ers clinch everything, take points if you can get ‘em
Pick: San Francisco +3.5

Sunday, November 27
Minnesota Vikings v Atlanta Falcons -9.5
Ten points is a lot, even considering Minnesota just lost Adrian Peterson. Now consider the Vikes are still without the services of Donovan McNabb, and the spread is ridiculous. Can’t see where Vikes get points. If Atlanta scores twice they cover.
Pick: Atlanta -9.5

Arizona Cardinals v St. Louis Rams -3.5
Arizona beat Philadelphia. St. Louis beat New Orleans. They both lost to Seattle and the Redskins. There is truly no consistency. Can you really give points in a game like this? You can when the team getting them must choose between John Skelton and Richard Bartel at quarterback.
Pick: St. Louis -3.5

Carolina Panthers v Indianapolis Colts +3.5
Carolina’s invisible defense meets Indy’s irrecoverable entirety. For Indianapolis to cover such a tight spread, they would have to risk winning this game. I just don’t see it.
Pick: Carolina -3.5

Buffalo Bills v New York Jets -8.5
Stevie Johnson, hurt. Fred Jackson, hurt. Ryan Fitzpatrick, average to bad. The Jets have not shown much in the past couple weeks. Bills have not shown anything in last couple months. Plus Jets defense is enough to beat the Bills missing their only real weapons.
Pick: New York Jets -8.5

Cleveland Browns v Cincinnati Bengals -7.5
Aren’t taking any points this week. Certainly wouldn’t risk it here.
Pick: Cincinnati -7.5

Houston Texans v Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5
The Matt Leinart era begins Sunday. Lucky for Houston, and Matt, the Texans have a healthy Arian Foster. Jacksonville will see a healthy amount of Foster, notably crossing the goal line.
Pick: Houston -3.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Tennessee Titans -3.5
Unwatchable. Credit to Tampa Bay for covering against the Packers. Now try winning a game.
Pick: Tampa Bay +3.5

Chicago Bears v Oakland Raiders -4.5
Since when is the absence of Jay Cutler bad news for his team? Naturally, he starts playing well, then is hurt for a game against the Raiders. No idea how Bear’s replacement will do. Gonna put faith in that defense.
Pick: Chicago +4.5

Washington Redskins v Seattle Seahawks -4.5
Would sooner take the Browns than the Redskins, and aren’t going to do that anytime soon. Problem is, earlier this year, Seahawks didn’t cover against the Browns. Don’t bet, or watch this game.
Pick: Seattle -4.5

New England Patriots v Philadelphia Eagles +4.5
The Patriots are again playing like one of those teams you can expect to see in the Super Bowl. These things rarely go as predicted, but you can expect them to face the Green Bay Packers. That would be quite a game. Wonder what kind of grey sweatshirt Belichick will wear.
Pick: New England -4.5

Denver Broncos v San Diego Chargers -6.5
The San Diego Chargers have not earned this spread. Tim Tebow is essentially taking the field on his own, but appears to have enough talent to win, much less keep within a touchdown of the Chargers.
Pick: Denver +6.5

Pittsburgh Steelers v Kansas City Chiefs +10.5
Playing at Arrowhead has not made any difference for KC this year, but neither has the bye week for teams coming off it. Call that a wash, but Chiefs’ injury issues, and being awful issues will be too much to overcome against a team like Pittsburgh.
Pick: Pittsburgh -10.5

Monday, November 28
New York Giants v New Orleans Saints -7.5
The Giants are harder to figure than the Cowboys, and as hard to appreciate as the Raiders (see Eli Manning). New Orleans is eight points better than New York, and will show it at home.
Pick: New Orleans -7.5

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